May 2014 Analysis

Risk Summary - Armenia - MAY 2014

The collapse in relations between Russia and the West is likely to stall the Nagorno-Karabakh resolution process, with the key mediator, the Organisation for Security and Cooperation in Europe's...

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Macroeconomic Forecasts - Paraguay - MAY 2014

Paraguay's government fiscal deficit widened to 1.9% of GDP in 2013 from 1.7% of GDP in 2012, but we expect that government accounts will improve in 2014. The impacts of the 2013 fiscal consolidati...

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Risk Summary - Paraguay - MAY 2014

Following a meeting between President Horacio Cartes and US Assistant Secretary of State for Western Hemisphere Affairs Roberta Jacobson, the US official said that the two countries were examining...

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Risk Summary - Cambodia - MAY 2014

Cambodia's garment industry is a mainstay of the economy, and has the potential to become increasingly important as it moves up the value chain with the help of improved infrastructure, training...

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Risk Summary - Gabon Risk Summary - MAY 2014

POLITICAL RISK - Jean Ping Mulls Presidential Run In 2016 Retired diplomat Jean Ping has publically stated that he may challenge President Omar Bongo in presidential elections scheduled for 2016. Ping served in the cabinet of the president's late father Ali Bongo and later as chair of the African Union commission before breaking ties with the ruling party on February 1. The former minister...

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