June 2014 Analysis

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Risk Summary - Puerto Rico - JUNE 2014

Puerto Rico's governor, Alejandro García Padilla, rolled out a balanced budget on April 29. The proposed budget plan for the financial year, which begins July 1, focuses on spending cuts and...

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Risk Summary - Sudan - JUNE 2014

Militants attacked an oil field in the state of South Kordofan on April 19, abducting three workers - two Chinese nationals and an Algerian - and killing two Sudanese security staff. A group called...

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Macroeconomic Forecasts - Sudan - JUNE 2014

Following a devaluation of the official exchange rate in late 2013, we believe that the Sudanese pound will remain under pressure owing to a still-precarious balance of payments position. We are...

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Risk Summary - Mozambique - JUNE 2014

The Mozambican government and Anglo-Australian mining company Rio Tinto have begun discussions over a capital gains tax on the company's mining assets in Mozambique. In 2011, Rio Tinto acquired the...

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Macroeconomic Forecasts - Mozambique - JUNE 2014

We have downgraded our 2014 growth forecast from 8.1% to 6.9% owing to signs that political instability is harming private consumption. The relatively modest downgrade, and the fact that we see...

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Risk Summary - Mongolia - JUNE 2014

Recent demonstrations organised by opposition Mongolian People's Party (MPP) hint at the growing difficulties the ruling Mongolian Democratic Party (MDP) is likely to face in the current parliament...

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