Economic Activity Analysis

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Risk Summary - Zambia - JAN 2015

The African Union (AU) has urged Zambia to hold a stable vote, as the country buried late president Michael Sata at Embassy Park on November 11. 'Let us ensure a smooth leadership transition,' said...

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Risk Summary - Iraq - AUG 2014

Risks of a return to civil war in Iraq increased significantly as radical Islamist group ISIS took over the northern city of Mosul on June 10. The occupation of Mosul represents a threat to Iraq's...

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Economic Analysis - Recession To Remain As Consumption Continues To Weaken - JUNE 2014

We expect recessionary conditions in Puerto Rico to prevail through fiscal year 2015 at least, as declining household spending, driven by weak labour market dynamics, will continue to weigh on overall economic activity. In addition, as the government attempts to improve a precarious debt position, fiscal pressures will drive authorities to cut back on spending, further hampering private consump...

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