Domestic Politics Analysis


Risk Summary - Risk Summary - FEB 2015

We expect relations between Moldova and Russia to worsen in the coming quarters, following the outcome of general elections held on November 31. The pro-European Union parties - the Liberal-Democra...

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Risk Summary - Risk Summary - JAN 2015

We see a growing threat of radical Islamism in Tajikistan, and in Central Asia more broadly, as Central Asian nationals who have fought for the Islamic State (IS) in Iraq and Syria return to their native countries and wage jihad at home. It is difficult to obtain statistics on the number of militants, as local authorities tend to downplay the threat, with Tajik president Emomali Rahmon claiming...