December 2013 Analysis

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Risk Summary - Turkmenistan - DEC 2013

Turkmenistan’s Foreign Minister Rashid Meredov met with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on September 29 in New York during the United Nations’ General Assembly, in what was...

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Macroeconomic Forecasts - Albania - DEC 2013

Albania's current account deficit will narrow to 8.6% of GDP in 2013 and 8.2% in 2014, from 9.9% in 2012, as goods exports continue their gradual recovery and weak domestic demand restricts import...

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Macroeconomic Forecasts - Turkmenistan - DEC 2013

Real GDP growth was recorded at 9.9% year-on-year (y-o-y) in the first nine months of 2013 according to the Ministry of Economy and Development. Gross fixed capital formation provided a notable...

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Macroeconomic Forecasts - Azerbaijan - DEC 2013

We have revised down our forecast for Azerbaijan’s government budget surplus from 0.2% and 0.4% of GDP in 2013 and 2014, to 0.0% and 0.1% respectively. In 2013 government expenditure ticked...

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Risk Summary - Azerbaijan - DEC 2013

The Azerbaijani government has filed an official note of protest with the Russian government after an Azerbaijani migrant, in custody for the alleged murder of a Russian citizen in Moscow on Octobe...

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Risk Summary - Albania - DEC 2013

Former British Prime Minister Tony Blair has been signed up to advise the new Albanian government on its efforts to join the EU. Blair will act as a consultant to the new Socialist administration...

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Risk Summary - DRC Risk Summary - DEC 2013

POLITICAL RISK - Gold Funding M23 Rebellion A US-based NGO has alleged that the M23 rebellion in the eastern DRC is being funded by illegal mining and gold smuggling. In a recently-published report...

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